Movie Insiders Estimate $60M Weekend for Iron Man Movie--MINIMUM!

Movie Insiders Estimate $60M Weekend for Iron Man Movie--MINIMUM!


Box office prophets are weighing in, and all the news is good for the Iron Man movie to bring in a boatload of cashola.

If you follow the industry analysts and marketing bean counters, the golden avenger is pulling some great statistics. Conservative estimates are prophesying that the film's opening day take will net a MINIMUM of 60 million dollars--and probably much more!

Those that have seen Iron Man (Paramount) have been blown away by Jon Favreau’s Marvel adaptation. One exec described it as not so much a superhero movie and not exactly science fiction. It is more “science fact.” Paramount has every reason to be thrilled with early tracking for Iron Man due next Friday (5/2). I’m told that Un-Aided Awareness, the best measure of buzz and anticipation, is at a solid 15%. The Total Aware is at 82%, so it will likely reach complete saturation by opening day. With 11 days until opening, Definite Interest is an excellent 50% and the Robert Downey, Jr. vehicle checks in with a 20% First Choice.

As of today, it appears that Iron Man will fall well short of the $151.1M that Spider-Man 3 earned on the same weekend last year, but there is an almost certain $60M+ opening. This is a conservative early read, and it’s very possible that I’ll adjust north early next week.

Jim Littler
4/23/2008
Source: SLASHFILM.com

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CBM Calendar

 MAY 2008
 ★2nd - Iron Man
 ★9th - Speed Racer
 ★22nd - Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull

 JUNE 2008
 ★13th - The Incredible Hulk
 ★27th - Wanted

 JULY 2008
 ★2nd - Hancock
 ★11th - Hellboy II: The Golden Army
 ★18th - Batman: The Dark Knight

 SEPTEMBER 2008
 ★19th - Whiteout

 DECEMBER 2008
 ★5th - Punisher: War Zone
 ★25th - The Spirit

 MARCH 2009
 ★6th - Watchmen

 APRIL 2009
 ★3rd - Dragonball

 MAY 2009
 ★1st - X-Men Origins: Wolverine
 ★TBD - Astro Boy

 JUNE 2009
 ★26th - Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen

 AUGUST 2009
 ★7th - GI Joe: Rise of Cobra

 APRIL 2010
 ★TBD - Iron Man 2

 JUNE 2010
 ★4th - Thor
 ★25th - The Green Hornet

 2011
 ★May 6th - The First Avenger: Captain America
 ★July - The Avengers
 ★TBD - Spider-Man 4