Tracking Indicates Tom Cruise's EDGE OF TOMORROW Will Flop

Tracking Indicates Tom Cruise's EDGE OF TOMORROW Will Flop

Variety gives you an Edge of Tomorrow box office prediction: It's gonna be cold, it's gonna be grey, and it's gonna last for the rest of Tom Cruise's life. The science-fiction version of Groundhog Day isn't tracking well. Come see!

Last year, Tom Cruise was a happy camper. His new sci-fi film Oblivion opened domestically with a $38 million weekend. That's actually one of his better openings, and allow the film to recoup its $120 million budget. Now Tom Cruise is about to throw his hat in the ring once more with Doug Liman's Edge of Tomorrow, and there doesn't seem to be as much interest as Cruise's last venture in the sci-fi genre.
This week, pre-release tracking numbers dropped $5 million from last week, suggesting that “Edge of Tomorrow’s” opening weekend debut would be in the $25 million range, a dismal opening for any studio tentpole. The pricey pic, co-financed by Village Roadshow, cost between $175 and $200 million, meaning that in order to turn a profit, the film will have to make at least double that worldwide. -

War of the Worlds - $64 million
Mission: Impossible II - $57 million
Mission: Impossible III - $47 million
Mission: Impossible - $45 million
Oblivion - $38 million
Interview with the Vampire - $36 million
Minority Report - $35 million

The story unfolds in a near future in which a hive-like alien race, called Mimics, have hit the Earth in an unrelenting assault, shredding great cities to rubble and leaving millions of human casualties in their wake. No army in the world can match the speed, brutality or seeming prescience of the weaponized Mimic fighters or their telepathic commanders. But now the world’s armies have joined forces for a last stand offensive against the alien horde, with no second chances. Lt. Col. Bill Cage (Cruise) is an officer who has never seen a day of combat when he is unceremoniously demoted and then dropped—untrained and ill-equipped—into what amounts to little more than a suicide mission. Cage is killed within minutes, managing to take an Alpha down with him. But, impossibly, he awakens back at the beginning of the same hellish day, and is forced to fight and die again…and again. Direct physical contact with the alien has thrown him into a time loop—dooming him to live out the same brutal combat over and over. But with each pass, Cage becomes tougher, smarter, and able to engage the Mimics with increasing skill, alongside Special Forces warrior Rita Vrataski (Blunt), who has lain waste to more Mimics than anyone on Earth. As Cage and Rita take the fight to the aliens, each repeated battle becomes an opportunity to find the key to annihilating the alien invaders and saving the Earth.

EDGE OF TOMORROW is being directed by Doug Liman (“The Bourne Identity,” “Mr. & Mrs. Smith”) from a screenplay written by Dante Harper, Christopher McQuarrie and Joby Harold, based on the novel "All You Need Is Kill" by Hiroshi Sakurazaka. The film stars: Tom Cruise, Emily Blunt, Bill Paxton, Jonas Armstrong (BBC’s “Robin Hood”), Tony Way, Kick Gurry, Franz Drameh, and Charlotte Riley. The film will hit theaters June 6, 2014.
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